With Israeli elections just days away, many American Jews are watching closely, hoping that Benjamin Netanyahu will finally be defeated.

American Jews, overwhelmingly Democrats and liberals, have a litany of complaints about Israel’s longest-serving prime minister. They believe he insulted President Barack Obama by trying to prevent the passage of his Iran nuclear deal with an address to a joint session of Congress. They claim Netanyahu’s 2018 law declaring Israel the nation-state of the Jewish people has eroded the country’s democracy. Above all, they blame Netanyahu for the lack of progress on the Palestinian front.

There is a reasonable chance that Netanyahu will win. If he does not, though, the victor will most certainly come from Israel’s political center. And if that happens, American Jews are in for a rude awakening. Because Israeli policies, which they have long criticized, are unlikely to change.

For all his talk, Netanyahu has been very conflict-avoidant. Israel has engaged in almost no wars during his long tenure. Some of the candidates opposing him have declared that they would hammer Gaza if Hamas continues shelling Israel (something Netanyahu has avoided for the past five years), and they would be equally resolute in preventing the Iranians from obtaining a weapon of mass destruction. Benny Gantz, Netanyahu’s chief rival, might not have pushed for the “Nation-State Law” (Bibi used it as a cheap political stunt to win votes), but there is no doubt that Gantz (like most Israelis) agrees with the thrust of the law.... Read More: The New York Post